Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.024816 0.029954 0.035348 0.041389 0.047927 0.054753 0.062381
2025-12-28 0.019023 0.026528 0.034938 0.044862 0.056079 0.068216 0.082206
2026-01-04 0.012941 0.021225 0.031167 0.043487 0.057947 0.074056 0.093065
2026-01-11 0.009725 0.018568 0.029831 0.044342 0.061852 0.081758 0.105622
2026-01-18 0.007147 0.016145 0.028337 0.044632 0.064785 0.088097 0.116412
2026-01-25 0.005240 0.014216 0.027159 0.045051 0.067664 0.094205 0.126791
2026-02-01 0.003633 0.012315 0.025738 0.044944 0.069730 0.099221 0.135789
2026-02-08 0.001967 0.009683 0.022906 0.042705 0.068926 0.100643 0.140426
2026-02-15 0.001079 0.008104 0.021392 0.042061 0.070002 0.104227 0.147526
2026-02-22 0.000619 0.007229 0.020852 0.042677 0.072635 0.109661 0.156791
2026-03-01 0.000315 0.006505 0.020452 0.043423 0.075387 0.115209 0.166167
2026-03-08 0.000158 0.006102 0.020547 0.044851 0.079015 0.121827 0.176821
2026-03-15 0.000027 0.005368 0.020016 0.045426 0.081653 0.127411 0.186494
2026-03-22 0.000023 0.005758 0.021671 0.049353 0.088866 0.138809 0.203325
2026-03-29 NaN 0.004493 0.019899 0.047954 0.088810 0.141020 0.208942
2026-04-05 NaN 0.004022 0.019649 0.048860 0.091866 0.147146 0.219327
2026-04-12 NaN 0.003447 0.019056 0.049166 0.094059 0.152150 0.228319
2026-04-19 NaN 0.002968 0.018578 0.049607 0.096410 0.157334 0.237519
2026-04-26 NaN 0.002426 0.017802 0.049495 0.097942 0.161439 0.245362
2026-05-03 NaN 0.001555 0.015787 0.047139 0.096187 0.161215 0.247763
2026-05-10 NaN 0.001112 0.014800 0.046461 0.096781 0.164006 0.253888
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000916 0.014576 0.047110 0.099287 0.169292 0.263132
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000761 0.014438 0.047895 0.101981 0.174821 0.272677